Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.869940 1.006434 1.154135 1.325437 1.518225 1.728058 1.973289
2024-12-15 0.690857 0.885312 1.114146 1.401447 1.750473 2.158596 2.669605
2024-12-22 0.559398 0.783095 1.065853 1.445078 1.935349 2.542314 3.344329
2024-12-29 0.483033 0.729471 1.060432 1.529337 2.167098 2.993629 4.133169
2025-01-05 0.398671 0.646883 0.999674 1.525382 2.274003 3.284624 4.731088
2025-01-12 0.330186 0.573228 0.937401 1.505770 2.349420 3.530523 5.277659
2025-01-19 0.278037 0.514396 0.886408 1.492199 2.425814 3.776117 5.832751
2025-01-26 0.244810 0.479857 0.866531 1.520382 2.561804 4.111185 6.531067
2025-02-02 0.215295 0.446317 0.842866 1.537838 2.679512 4.423256 7.210568
2025-02-09 0.189023 0.413940 0.816259 1.545946 2.780342 4.712868 7.869531
2025-02-16 0.171024 0.393964 0.808067 1.582805 2.928327 5.081607 8.666721
2025-02-23 0.152351 0.369430 0.788232 1.596342 3.036700 5.391844 9.386637
2025-03-02 0.128285 0.330095 0.736725 1.549300 3.040388 5.537548 9.861249
2025-03-09 0.117817 0.318360 0.737034 1.597684 3.214233 5.973505 10.829298
2025-03-16 0.107130 0.304212 0.730611 1.632202 3.365114 6.378777 11.767078
2025-03-23 0.102344 0.303154 0.750911 1.720259 3.619399 6.973482 13.049148
2025-03-30 0.090273 0.281894 0.725426 1.713873 3.696167 7.263195 13.827073
2025-04-06 0.078628 0.259331 0.693940 1.691459 3.739557 7.494645 14.513721
2025-04-13 0.069016 0.240164 0.667406 1.676190 3.794416 7.747602 15.246964
2025-04-20 0.063321 0.230849 0.662679 1.707241 3.942678 8.177418 16.311043
2025-04-27 0.057563 0.220148 0.653158 1.726493 4.067776 8.569739 17.323859
2025-05-04 0.051906 0.208524 0.639764 1.735439 4.171669 8.926534 18.286410
2025-05-11 0.048276 0.202600 0.640163 1.776149 4.344361 9.421753 19.522460